Originally, the story was “Only reports of success are reported in the paper, not reports of failure, so there is a bias toward assuming success.
I’ve seen all sorts of things related to this concept.
- It is easy to talk about in-house products, but difficult to talk about outsourced development.
- Only successful people’s tweets get buzzed and communicated to a wide audience.
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@nishio: even if the success rate is 0.1%, if 1000 people try it, maybe 1 person will say “I tried this and it worked in one shot!” and it gets a lot of buzz. I tried it 10 times and all succeeded! and then the success rate will finally reach 50%.
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- The vindictiveness of “I got a PhD but can’t find a job” is easily tweeted, but “I got a job easily, didn’t I?” However, people who think, “I got a job easily, didn’t I?
from /mitoujr/publication-bias.
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