- Whether an uncertain event will result in state A in the future is described by a probability
- Are you confident you can be an A?”
- If I say there is, they say I’m an idiot who doesn’t understand the current situation, believing that an event that has only a low probability of occurring will happen.
- If you say you don’t have it, they beat you up for not wanting to be an A.
- This question pushes choosing the wrong two options.
- We have no choice but to engage in activities that increase the probability of occurrence.
- So what if it was in this state?
- Dozens of times more likely than the original state.
- On the other hand, it has not yet exceeded 50%.
- If you’re going to pick the option with the highest probability, it would be reasonable to predict that it won’t be “A.”
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