I had the opportunity to discuss what “actual warfare in the modern era” looks like, and I summarized some of the things I researched at that time.
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Automatic rifles invented in the 1880s
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1914 Lanchester’s law published
- A time when automatic rifles were being adopted by the military.
- point (e.g. of a statement)
- We’ve gone from “a situation where each soldier takes aim at an enemy soldier” to “a situation where we shoot randomly and kill the enemy in a stochastic manner.”
- It became easier for the side with the greater number of people to gain the upper hand than in previous wars.
- In other words, I’m assuming a situation where a large enough group of infantry to be statistically manageable collides with another group of infantry, and they start shooting up the place.
- Is that kind of fighting the main thing in the modern world?
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1960 Che Guevara “guerrilla warfare”
- A book on how to fight with a small and poorly armed army
- Guevara led a small, under-armed army to a successful Cuban Revolution.
- This indicates that the main combat situation did not turn out to be the one that Lancaster’s model had envisioned
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Computer networks begin to be created in the 1960s.
- The Internet was created in the 1980s.
- As a result, “attacks conducted without physical proximity” via the Internet were created
- Cyberattack data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications in 2017:
- Japan Suffers Targeted Cyberattacks on JAXA and JAEA
- Cyberattack data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications in 2017:
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1995 Tokyo Sarin gas attack on the subway
- Incidents of chemical weapons being used in the capitals of developed countries.
- It has been demonstrated that great damage can be done by cult groups that are inferior in numbers and technology compared to the military.
- transfinite warfare” was written by a Chinese military researcher in 1999.
- point (e.g. of a statement)
- The boundaries between “war and non-war,” “war zones and non-war zones,” etc. will disappear.
- Internet and securities markets will also become battlegrounds.
- point (e.g. of a statement)
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2001 [The terrorist attacks on the United States https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%82%A2%E3%83%A1%E3%83%AA%E3%82%AB%E5%90%8C%E6%99%82%E5%A4%9A%E7%99%BA%E3%83%86% e3%83%ad%e4%ba%8b%e4%bb%b6]
- Outwardly, the cult group did this on its own.
- The U.S. government has issued a report alleging Saudi Arabia’s involvement.
- Clashes are occurring without explicitly taking the form of a war between nations.
- It is common for the side with the inferior force to choose surprise.
- Preparing for surprise attacks in the form of terrorism became important for national security.
- Outwardly, the cult group did this on its own.
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Beside this trend, the idea of “the boundary between war and non-war disappears” of super-limited warfare develops.
- 2003 The Political Work Regulations of the People’s Liberation Army of China are amended.
- public opinion poll, psychological warfare, and legal warfare.
- This includes actions such as controlling public opinion on the Internet
- Interesting that you describe it as a “war”.
- 2003 The Political Work Regulations of the People’s Liberation Army of China are amended.
- public opinion poll, psychological warfare, and legal warfare.
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the War on Intelligence” in 2004.
- Conquest and occupation are prone to casualties in your own army.
- An unmanned attack would cause no casualties and be politically inexpensive.
- A scenario in which the enemy leader’s reputation is destroyed in a public opinion battle and then assassinated by a drone.
- Pose as terrorists and carry out surprise attacks.
- 2021 by Domestic Politicians Protest against the Critical Land Regulation Bill.
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