nishio Limiting the term “monopolization” to “100%” or “forever” is It’s too narrow, and if you do that, you’ll run out of things that fall under that category. Windows has not reached 100% market share, nor has it dominated forever. It had strong market dominance in certain areas for a certain period of time. I’m predicting the same situation will occur with OpenAI+MS.
nishio Of course, in that monopoly, it is good for society as a whole that individual engineers invest their time in minority options, and it is the challengers who create new operating systems, new browsers, new programming languages, etc., against the top market share that create the better ones for the next generation. Of course, in such a monopolistic situation, it is good for society as a whole that individual engineers invest their time in minority options.
nishio On the other hand, most people are not interested in the technical content or ideology. The technologically superior products do not necessarily spread, but the first ones to spread exert the network effect, and there is a dynamic that makes their dominance more secure. This is because the masses are unable to evaluate technology, and they imitate and use what those close to them are using.
nishio Which position is the right way to take cannot be known in advance because the future is unpredictable to anyone. It is understood that individual effort can contribute. It is the difference between taking a position proactively after understanding the situation in detail and taking a position somewhat without understanding it well or being forced to take a position by others.
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