When the rate is reported, look at the quantity; when the quantity is reported, look at the rate.

“18-19 year olds are 100% against state funerals”? Fukushima Minpo’s public opinion poll raises statistical “doubts” - SAKISIRU.

18-19 year olds are 100% against state funerals.

• Since this is a poll of Fukushima Prefecture residents, I assume it is an RDD (random telephone call) survey to landlines in the area code of Fukushima Prefecture, excluding cell phones. If that is the case, the probability of an 18 or 19 year old answering the phone is quite low, based on common sense. I wonder how many 18- and 19-year-olds are in the denominator of the headline, “100% against.” If you can’t say that number, you have zero credibility. If you can’t say that number, don’t you have zero credibility?

  • “Fukushima Minpo conducted the survey by landline phone and the number of respondents was 718,” Fukushima Minpo told the SAKISIRU editorial office on the same day. We do not disclose details by age group,” and reiterated its intention not to reveal the numbers of 18- and 19-year-olds. He also declined to answer questions raised on the Internet about whether the number of respondents was too small, saying, “We do not answer such questions.

• ‘When the press reports the rate of change, look at the amount of change, and when they report the amount of change, look at the rate of change.’

Another case: Mynacard returns surge in June in various locations “I’m worried about possessing it” and “I don’t trust it” - Asahi Shimbun

The lesson of “when the media brings up numbers, look at percentages, when they bring up percentages, look at numbers” is really valid this time, too.

[Percentage Minor card returns surge in June in many areas! ↓ [Number In Kanazawa City, the number of cases of voluntary return of miner cards was 1 in April and 3 in May, but rose to 18 in June. src: https://twitter.com/nittaryo/status/1674760693592256517

Example of quantity → rate Receipt of subscription fees, expected to decrease by 1.4 billion yen a year → 3.7 billion yen in 6 months NHK Interim Financial Results：Asahi Shimbun Digital

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• Revenues are hovering around ~30 billion. Compared to that, the decline in subscription revenues is only about 10%.
• The media creates the impression that “NHK has a deficit of 3.7 billion yen! NHK has a deficit of 3.7 billion yen!

jijicom Flash Report The Nikkei 225 closed down 2,216 yen. The decline is the second largest in history since 1987. jiji.com Flash Report Nikkei 225 closed down 2,216 yen. The decline is the second largest in history since 1987: Jiji.com The Nikkei 225 closed down 2,216 yen. The decline is the second largest in history since 1987 minasek Meanwhile, the “decline rate” is only -5.81%, not even in the top 20! Don’t compare the “range of decline” with past points in time when stock price levels were different, as it is meaningless.

Quantity and Percentage Distinction between “absolute amount” and “percentage Note the absolute amount when ratios are mentioned. Tips on how not to be fooled by news reports and [statistics

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