We do not deserve to trust those who look at others’ challenges and lightly say, “This will fail. Because a significant portion of success/failure is determined by luck, and the rest is a complex mix of factors that cannot be read without very careful analysis. It is a liar to say as if you can read what you cannot read. https://twitter.com/fromdusktildawn/status/1391224380630265860?s=21

In addition to that, once a person predicts that “this will fail,” they don’t want to admit that they lied, so they pick at the details and make a fuss about “see, it failed,” and try to get in the way and make it fail. They are harmful to society.

relevance

  • A bad advisor will say “fail, wait and see, put it off, how about it” for now. A good advisor will point out the low batting average and then say, “How can we maximize the probability, what are the holes that can be prevented, how can we avoid ironclad land mines?

  • https://twitter.com/fladdict/status/1392661416620879874?s=21

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