Go ahead, hit the wall and turn.

  • Thereā€™s a difference of opinion between those who see this ā€œrun into a wall beforeā€ and those who see it ā€œafterā€ hitting the wall.

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  • Makes it easier to go in a certain direction.
  • Weā€™re going in that direction.
  • Proceed to touch constraints that are not currently affected
  • change direction

For example, LLMs make programming easier.

  • Programmers increase as barriers to entry are lowered and the customer value generated per person increases.
    • Because right now there are too many ā€œproblems to solveā€ and not enough programmers.
    • This ā€œsupply of problems to be solvedā€ is the ā€œconstraint.ā€
  • If the number of programmers increases sufficiently, the ā€œsupply of problems to solveā€ will replace the bottleneck.
    • Before this timing, it was ā€œwe found a problem to solve, but we didnā€™t have enough people to actually turn it into code, so we couldnā€™t demonstrate much value.
      • As programmers begin to be in surplus, the value of ā€œfinding a problem to solveā€ rises as prices begin to fall.
    • Insufficient supply of problems will lead to a surplus of programmers.
      • More and more cuts are being made on the low-skilled side.

impetus


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