from Diary 2024-04-26
- failure to forecast is information volume almost zero
kaityo256 Most new technologies and attempts fail, so the “this will fail” expectation for something new is almost zero information.
kaityo256 To find a new road, a lot of people have to run in different directions. Most of them are dead ends, but someone lucky will find a new road, and then we all go from there to find another road.
kaityo256 So, the discourse that “it’s a dead end that way anyway” when you see someone running is quite possibly true, but it only kills the motivation of the person running and produces nothing. It does nothing but kill the motivation of those who are running. If you don’t want to run, it is better to support them or at least be quiet.
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