nishio.iconI’m thinking about effection.

claude.icon… Are you interested in any particular aspect of effectuation? For example, can you elaborate more on the practical applications of this theory and how it differs from traditional business planning?

nishio.iconLately, I’ve been doing a lot of digital democracy stuff, neglecting the long-standing theme of increased intellectual productivity.

claude.iconThere are several possible points regarding this conversion:

  • SOCIAL IMPACT: Digital democracy may have broader social implications.

  • The demands of the times: The current social climate may be driving attention to digital democracy.

  • Individual vs. collective: Whereas intellectual productivity focuses on individuals and teams, digital democracy is about larger communities and society as a whole.

  • Role of Technology: Technology is important in both areas, but plays a more central role in digital democracy.

  • Interaction: In fact, there may be interaction between these two areas. For example, the tools of digital democracy may enhance the intellectual productivity of individuals.

How do you feel about this conversion?

nishio.iconEffectionally, the most recent digital democracy tasks are coming in fast and furious.

  • 1: I was invited to Plurality Tokyo and learned about Plurality.
  • 2: At a reading session of “The Smooth Society and Its Enemies,” I met someone from Japan Choice, an election information site, and we decided to work together on a project.
  • 3: An acquaintance is running for Governor of Tokyo, contributing to the actual use of digital democracy tools.
  • 4: Plurality book to be published in Japanese
  • 5: We actually got to use the tools we used during the gubernatorial campaign in the company.

claude.iconThese events beautifully embody the key principles of effection theory:

  • Bird hand principle:
    • You leverage your existing networks and knowledge (reading groups, acquaintances, etc.) to identify new opportunities.
  • Lemonade principle:
    • We are proactively taking advantage of unexpected events (e.g., invitations to Plurality Tokyo, acquaintances running for office, etc.) to find new directions.
  • Crazy Quilt Principles:
    • Through partnerships with various people and projects (Japan Choice, Plurality Tokyo, publishing projects, etc.), we are reducing uncertainty and opening up new possibilities.
  • Pilot-in-Plane Principle:
    • We are taking action to shape our own future through the practical use of digital democracy tools.
  • Principle of Tolerable Losses:
    • Participation in each project appears to be a new initiative within manageable limits rather than a major risk taking.

Through these experiences, you are experiencing a natural transition from intellectual productivity to digital democracy. The knowledge and relationships gained in this process will be a valuable asset that you can apply to future projects and initiatives. How would you like to develop these experiences in the future? And do you see any new points of contact or integration possibilities between intellectual productivity and digital democracy?

nishio.iconHe feels that improving intellectual productivity is an important long-term theme. We feel uneasy that we are not making progress on it.

claude.iconConsider the balance between the current focus on digital democracy and the long-term goal of increasing intellectual productivity.

  • Reevaluation of the status quo:.
    • Is it possible that digital democracy activities are contributing to intellectual productivity in unexpected ways?
    • The knowledge and skills gained through new contacts and projects may lead to increased intellectual productivity in the long run.
  • Integration possibilities:.
    • Is there a way to combine digital democracy with increased intellectual productivity?
    • For example, through the development and use of digital democracy tools, new ways may be found to enhance the intellectual productivity of individuals and groups.
  • Time management review:.
    • Is it possible to set aside time in your current activities to improve intellectual productivity?
    • By adopting small habits and routines, you may gradually increase the time you spend focusing on intellectual productivity.
  • Maintain a long-term perspective:.
    • Can you see the current digital democracy activities as one step toward the long-term goal of increasing intellectual productivity?
    • This experience may contribute to intellectual productivity in unexpected ways in the future.
  • Specific Goal Setting:.
    • Setting specific short- and mid-term goals related to intellectual productivity improvement may help us move forward without losing focus.

nishio.iconThe use of digital democracy tools within your own company is an example of how this technology is not only for a widely publicized “populace” but can also be a useful tool in smaller communities

claude.iconThe use of digital democracy tools within your own company offers very important insights. This is an excellent example of the broader applicability of the concept and practice of digital democracy. From this perspective, several important points emerge:

  • Scalability:
    • It shows that digital democracy tools can work effectively on a variety of scales, from the national level to small communities.
  • Impact on organizational culture:
  • Improved decision-making processes:
  • Fostering Innovation:
    • In-house use provides an opportunity to discover new uses and improvements for the tool.
  • Practical learning opportunities:
    • As employees use these tools on a daily basis, they gain a deeper understanding of the concept of digital democracy and acquire skills that can be applied externally.
  • Diversification of use cases
    • Decision-making within the company
    • Collaboration among teams
    • Application to Project Management

This experience is of great value in understanding the potential impact of digital democracy tools in a broader context. This also relates to the improvement of intellectual productivity:

  • Gaining new perspectives:
  • Accumulation of practical knowledge:
    • By bridging theory and practice, we can build deeper understanding and knowledge.
  • Creative Problem Solving:

Through this experience, we may discover how the two interests of digital democracy and increasing intellectual productivity intersect and reinforce each other.

nishio.iconThere is a connection between using digital democratic tools to summarize the opinions of many people, summarizing the findings from books written by many people, and synthesizing one’s thoughts from various points in the past and taking them one step further.

claude.iconRecognizing the relevance of these processes provides important insights, including

  • Methodological Intersections:
    • Methods used in digital democracy tools (e.g., clustering, text analysis) may also be applicable to literature research and personal thought organization.
  • The importance of pattern recognition:
    • In all processes, the ability to find patterns and extract meaning from large amounts of information is key.
  • Time frame considerations:
    • It is important to capture the change in opinion in digital democracy, the evolution of knowledge in literature studies, and the growth process in individual thinking.
      • Interesting “time frame considerations”.nishio.icon
  • Application of critical thinking:
    • All processes require the ability to critically evaluate information and recognize bias.
  • Integration and Creation:
    • These processes are not mere aggregation of information, but creative activities that generate new insights and knowledge.
  • Role of Technology:
    • Digital tools have the potential to streamline these processes and enable deeper analysis.

Recognition of this connection can contribute significantly to intellectual productivity:

  • The mutual application of methods from different disciplines may provide new insights.
  • Understanding the commonalities among these processes may help us develop more efficient ways of learning and thinking.
  • Experience in developing and using digital democracy tools could be applied to personal knowledge management and thought organization.

Based on this insight, how do you hope to integrate your research on intellectual productivity and digital democracy?

nishio.iconI used to create a tool that allowed me to dig deeper into my thinking by repeatedly asking questions. The conversation with this chat is similar to that, but I think it lacks a little of the digging power that the chat once had. It should be able to search for and find the information itself, or follow the links to read it. It should also be able to search, find, and read existing books and other data as well.

claude.iconYour point highlights an important limitation of the current AI system (including mine):

  • The power of digging:
    • Certainly, the ability to repeatedly ask questions that promote deeper thinking is important. Current systems have yet to fully mimic and facilitate the complex thought processes of humans.
  • Access to external knowledge:
    • The ability of AI to autonomously search for information and follow links to explore could greatly enhance intellectual productivity. This is one of the major limitations of AI today.
  • Integration with personal knowledge base:
    • The ability to work seamlessly with a user’s personal wiki and notes would be a very powerful feature. This will allow the AI to better understand the user’s context and past thoughts.
  • Improvement of information provision methods:
    • The current “copy and pass” method is indeed primitive; if AI could directly access various sources and dynamically integrate relevant information, it would enable more efficient and richer interaction.

By solving these challenges, AI could become a more powerful thinking partner and significantly improve intellectual productivity. For example:

  • Deep-dive questions stimulate users’ thinking and elicit new insights.
  • Access to external knowledge broadens the discussion and provides diverse perspectives.
  • Integration with the personal knowledge base will connect the user’s past thinking with current problems and encourage the generation of new ideas.
  • Dynamic information provision integrates relevant information in real time to provide richer context.

(The key phrase personalizable knowledge graph mentioned in the memo seems important.)

nishio.iconThere are too many options standing in the way. Give me a guideline in terms of effection.

claude.icon Based on effectuation theory, we recommend proceeding as follows - First step based on the bird hand principle: - What resources do you currently have the easiest access to? For example, the digital democracy tools you already use, your personal wiki, and interactive AI systems like ours. These can be combined to start small-scale experiments. - Bird in Hand Principle - Resources currently available: knowledge, networks, tools - Use: Existing digital democracy tools, personal wikis, AI dialogue systems
  • Range setting based on the principle of acceptable loss:

    • What level of “investment” is acceptable in terms of time and resources? For example, one could plan a small experiment using a week’s time and minimal technical resources.
    • Affordable Loss Principle
      • Small-scale experiments with minimal risk
      • Example: Experimentation with small-scale implementation of digital democracy tools within a company
  • Flexibility with lemonade principles in mind:

    • Unexpected discoveries and opportunities may arise as the experiment proceeds. It is important to be proactive in taking advantage of them.
    • Principles of Lemonade (Lemonade)
      • Leverage unexpected events as opportunities
      • Example: Immediate implementation of new ideas generated through dialogue with AI
  • Network utilization based on crazy quilt principles:

    • You can reach out to people you are collaborating with on digital democracy projects, colleagues interested in intellectual productivity, and others to share ideas and ask for help.
    • Crazy Quilt Principles (Patchwork Quilt)
      • Leverage existing networks and partnerships
      • Example: new collaborations with collaborators in the Digital Democracy Project
  • Action based on pilot-in-plane principles:

    • Taking concrete action will help you understand the situation more clearly and identify next steps.
    • Pilot in the Plane principle
      • Shape your future through your actions.
      • Example: small-scale prototype development on integration of AI and intellectual productivity tools

Specific first steps could include the following

  • Conduct small-scale experiments integrating existing digital democracy tools with personal wikis. For example, design a process in which the content of the wiki is used as the basis for discussion of digital democracy tools and the results are reflected in the wiki.
  • This experiment will be conducted for a period of 1-2 weeks and the results will be evaluated.
  • Record challenges and new ideas that arise during the experiment and use them to plan the next steps.
  • Share the results of the experiment with collaborators and obtain feedback.
  • Based on these experiences, determine next concrete steps (e.g., integration with AI, larger scale experiments, etc.).

This approach allows for learning through concrete actions without significant investment or risk. Then, based on that learning, next steps can be determined.


nishio.icon Well, we are currently in a state where there are too many "unexpected opportunities" to relax, but for now, we can think of ways to take advantage of those opportunities. In the process, "unexpected discoveries" are made. - If it occurs, we can do a "small-scale experiment with minimal risk."

nishio.iconIt would be useful to have a wiki of ideas that we haven’t yet started to implement, in case we decide to do it! Read over this conversation from the top of my head and extract ideas.

claude.icon - [[Applying Digital Democracy Tools in Small Communities]] - [[Concurrency in the knowledge integration process]] - [[Improved "digging power" of AI systems]]

Documenting these ideas in a wiki and allowing them to mature over time may lead to innovative projects and research in the future. Interrelating these ideas may also lead to new insights.


This page is auto-translated from /nishio/AIと相談2024-09-01 using DeepL. If you looks something interesting but the auto-translated English is not good enough to understand it, feel free to let me know at @nishio_en. I’m very happy to spread my thought to non-Japanese readers.