- Demonstrate by logic, not by quotes from great men, that an action strategy that was useful in one situation is not useful in another situation
- Suppose there is an older person, A, and a younger person, B, and that person A has been successful in the past in situation P by taking action strategy X
- Mr. A tends to think “action strategy X is right” and tells Mr. B so
- Precisely, “In situation P, action strategy X is correct.”
- In the current situation Q, it is possible that action strategy Y is more correct than action strategy X.
- Mr. A’s opinion tends to be more justified than can be logically justified
- Depends on Mr. A’s age halo effect.
- Mr. A’s results
- It’s not surprising that you have more achievements because you have more time resources used than Mr. B.
- Mr. A’s confidence
- By experience, “I took action strategy X and actually succeeded.”
- Bias of thinking that one’s past decisions were correct
- Input from Mr. A decreases the probability that Mr. B will take the preferred action strategy Y in the current situation Q
- How can we solve this problem?
- Mr. A’s age, track record, and confidence are obstacles to any direct attempt to deny that “Action Strategy X is correct.”
- First of all, acknowledge “Action strategy X is correct in situation P” and suppress Mr. A’s rebellion.
- Then, it is shown by logic that the optimal action strategy changes depending on the situation.
- This increases the probability that Mr. B will take the preferred action strategy Y in the current situation Q
- Promote alternation of generations in Action Strategies through logic
ref. This thought pattern is also an example of a Conflict Resolution Diagram. In Foreign Faith and Late Majority, which inspired me to write this, I first
I’m waiting for social proof because I’m afraid of risk-taking alone for something uncertain. I realized that using the expression “I’m afraid” was assuming that the other party was acting emotionally rather than logically, so I rewrote it as “I don’t think it’s rational to take risks.
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